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Frozen pre-match forecast · #128981

Boleráz VS Námestovo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.54%
Draw
16.10%
Away
72.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2408
Log loss
1.8264

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
0969f26560efdffa32bd9f9b7409c97475e54ba76af084ec6b83272e89e77d0d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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