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Frozen pre-match forecast · #128888

Clydebank VS Dumbarton

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.58%
Draw
14.30%
Away
11.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0974
Log loss
0.2933

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
e059c7eb7908b6470eb8e7838311b53ec4a39d5b6b517c77830f8cc3c46cdad2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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