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Frozen pre-match forecast · #128885

Banks O' Dee VS Motherwell U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.75%
Draw
20.96%
Away
28.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3665
Log loss
0.6783

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
45e2eee4f796bc5830264c07a4e94c00ce70b55c3e861ea33093829214fd5c2d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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