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Frozen pre-match forecast · #128507

Andratx VS Binissalem

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.79%
Draw
19.97%
Away
10.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.3324
Log loss
2.2780

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
995f917c1310bbdb272e547bec6c9fd717062f7b2022297147915e92a14b044e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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