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Frozen pre-match forecast · #128479

Vimenor VS Laredo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.74%
Draw
28.20%
Away
42.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5037
Log loss
0.8661

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
152457110890a1523f4e864f9d28f00c41b1dbc72d3dae4c22a73c5f9a876960

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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