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Frozen pre-match forecast · #128377

Bylis VS FK Kukesi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.52%
Draw
27.44%
Away
28.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4617
Log loss
0.8092

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
a979423e7f6ed4fd397b5117ab6cbd47c77266e4307f314f7d43e407447b32e0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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