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Frozen pre-match forecast · #128359

Comillas VS Oyonesa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.64%
Draw
27.20%
Away
43.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4849
Log loss
0.8403

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
34b471914758ee5e564d4e25f8724743362ac085e67086d6a2468a7eb0f4f69f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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