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Frozen pre-match forecast · #128293

Coruxo VS Compostela

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.97%
Draw
27.42%
Away
24.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8737
Log loss
1.4020

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
4ffdc0c42ef37d5bc2ad06b78bbb9067526ddae18756da8d87df0e013a8349fc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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