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Frozen pre-match forecast · #128155

Levanger VS Hønefoss

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.41%
Draw
20.51%
Away
24.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9969
Log loss
1.5843

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
b5134ef9b64394e97a43de3d0c51b482b665955e88d5baad2d00827a980dd469

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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