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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127811

Balatonalmádi VS Veszprém

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.75%
Draw
23.12%
Away
51.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3586
Log loss
0.6708

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
1d365df8a06b396f40d0a44c692ad2790b9ecf1ad513b0db7e3836e7f774fe28

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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