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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127723

Malut United VS Pusamania Borneo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.06%
Draw
24.58%
Away
46.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7786
Log loss
1.2358

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
9ba0b2bdd716461d99e562ee65c59ea600f6a4d8cbed60391f8ec02872361453

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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