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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12772

Progresul Mogosoaia VS Dinamo Bucureşti II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.52%
Draw
29.27%
Away
30.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7371
Log loss
1.1972

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
SHA-256
92fcaec2d74285f79375ea61a57ba1de8176cd64ca033d429f9a45d7bc0845c4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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