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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12764

Viitorul Corbeanca VS Berca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.78%
Draw
37.58%
Away
36.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6091
Log loss
1.0040

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
SHA-256
50b9479a7c105bfd9f4d2febaafe8fe75e8e399eb2ea655449a404a47604343a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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