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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12763

Tunari VS Urban Titu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.17%
Draw
33.13%
Away
21.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4574
Log loss
0.7946

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
SHA-256
5f3c6923a4e77aa6682fee43a58ae83f47a0d5d39f6baef5b8f3938cd197568b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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