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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127618

Cordobés VS Tigres de Alica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.94%
Draw
26.09%
Away
36.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6024
Log loss
0.9959

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
1c87a00e4852e0b643c1ab7626a6c4f18139b8791cddb72c871a91ebdaa0e39f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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