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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127488

Houtvenne VS Knokke

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.32%
Draw
23.70%
Away
33.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5043
Log loss
0.8599

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
5f5bf46ef11831f6e03ff16f06eccfbb45cdd93ced35ea2fbc87f7fa3dc256e3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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