Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #127484

Wilrijk VS Diegem Sport

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.39%
Draw
21.14%
Away
30.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4038
Log loss
0.7258

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
f54df0746e4160f41bc09636c83c2e353188c29c3e7d41c78c25e90ddba3b513

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →