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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127458

07 Vestur VS EB / Streymur

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.11%
Draw
24.84%
Away
37.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5820
Log loss
0.9647

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
24e3b80e225f56685471165c062840cfd5966696ee786fd88518dea4ce9b69ca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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