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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127457

KSZO 1929 VS Busko-Zdroj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.61%
Draw
20.75%
Away
15.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1999
Log loss
0.4524

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
e8d126166e7eac1a4fcea14bc2c2f2f4d731af1c1fcf335d39a8c0efc63fe6b5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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