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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127419

Hobro VS Kolding IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.64%
Draw
27.10%
Away
40.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8001
Log loss
1.3056

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
9c9d2b9211758c5bb75cf459765940f4c3828fb63039eba5d0add2bb5dd1213c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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