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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127286

Eldense B VS Vall de Uxó

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.56%
Draw
30.22%
Away
38.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7325
Log loss
1.1966

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
cb0908c9dc19e7463f95deaf238928205e911433e969e23f3f903fc21b407ec7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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