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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12715

Dimitrovgrad VS Sayana Haskovo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.33%
Draw
33.56%
Away
52.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3625
Log loss
0.6518

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
SHA-256
1b07f7ce4993072862a9b885f09ebca7dd892c9908c30ced59bd670c3dfda9c0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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