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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127077

Ruh Lviv VS Nyva Vinnytsya

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.46%
Draw
26.45%
Away
37.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8115
Log loss
1.3299

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
a40b14db78d6e11b7e3f16120b7e1f973532f27cedf4c303391a1d5eeb4ac557

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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