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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127075

Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS Bratslav Vinnytsia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.50%
Draw
25.13%
Away
45.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.4486
Log loss
0.7903

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
26e43ea5c9441803efb9cf3ebd8f620ab0fd159db9b984be12a410b0e99b5e67

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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