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Frozen pre-match forecast · #127027

Lauterach VS Wolfurt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.13%
Draw
21.66%
Away
32.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4409
Log loss
0.7738

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
f66d01dab2684c3e8d9dd5e1b4fa729250501b09a1d9ca3c77e4f6c5bff0f0a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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