Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #126986

Slaný VS Hvězda Cheb

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
80.15%
Draw
12.21%
Away
7.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0601
Log loss
0.2213

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
a9603b8efcb71e871f1c9543a90b288f3c5e59a3bed6e0a9406f9613de94b98c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →