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Frozen pre-match forecast · #126931

Rustavi VS Dila

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.23%
Draw
28.22%
Away
33.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5738
Log loss
0.9615

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
c59e06ca5a36f991b644a4a896576a0c401f829f74ec9df3d09fd1322f504211

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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