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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12680

Király SZE VS SC Sopron

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.91%
Draw
36.52%
Away
35.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6264
Log loss
1.0337

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
f1ee5b6f9eb368a92c93405ee85f9c1f4d70fc4b5b32562b010d534eb862feae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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