Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #126709

Čadca VS Rimavská Sobota

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.87%
Draw
14.10%
Away
9.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0816
Log loss
0.2632

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
fbe429aec8205fda6b56cb80f1b47d9b10bf3115df7fb089f9583885672d9feb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →