Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #126688

EB / Streymur II VS B36 II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.26%
Draw
16.24%
Away
63.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2006
Log loss
0.4541

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
7d54029bdeb008cc14ceafd66353b1326c9d16724b0bf94bc7f95c8acaa1bb20

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →