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Frozen pre-match forecast · #126617

KuPS Akatemia VS VJS

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.83%
Draw
19.36%
Away
58.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2548
Log loss
0.5309

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
799c8ddea5c9dcd5c1fb295e4bbe36a9b52ece2a643461d9d7bf131d92cc892b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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