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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12657

Woking VS Kidderminster Harriers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.74%
Draw
30.23%
Away
37.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7311
Log loss
1.1963

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
7ad9695abd7acfcb15f580dbb112e16062408fa0e45e7b4c26fd9c2645f9a068

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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