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Frozen pre-match forecast · #126389

Sárisápi Bányász VS 1908 SZAC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.28%
Draw
20.05%
Away
15.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1923
Log loss
0.4419

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
188f7e0b11ba4451e1ab9b37e74a992fecf89a877e8f0ed6fab5439a667e033e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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