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Frozen pre-match forecast · #126300

Slovan Liberec II VS Chrudim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.42%
Draw
23.42%
Away
39.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5651
Log loss
0.9377

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
c05f082b8748bc417b1a1bd4fe919788893c52bfaaa8ec9767d0310da2d6eb46

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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