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Frozen pre-match forecast · #126237

Kabuscorp VS Wiliete

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.95%
Draw
30.16%
Away
43.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7477
Log loss
1.1986

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
8b1a6c75ba2a2fb2cd1e69647a280ca81acb23aaaa22f14b1f8b47f0c46e57c6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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