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Frozen pre-match forecast · #126203

Giugliano VS Inter U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.00%
Draw
25.83%
Away
44.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4684
Log loss
0.8171

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
9fb2fb5b0a220d4f6e25079a0bd85bb453b0453a30445cad34fe2043eb932880

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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