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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125975

Swit VS ŁKS Łódź II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 04:02 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.49%
Draw
22.01%
Away
23.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 790-minute result
Brier score
0.9306
Log loss
1.4482

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 04:02 UTC
SHA-256
7a6c9893d2ad9b4f713ad7f88c389b7218ae6e03991a1db4c5ee9d6445f93ba5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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