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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125934

Kallithea VS Panthrakikos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 04:02 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.76%
Draw
23.09%
Away
13.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2019
Log loss
0.4500

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 04:02 UTC
SHA-256
d6b53749d799a2f273c5b66fa3348fe102fe577d751c860ba2a4c761f8acf423

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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