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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125907

Sotra VS Kvik Halden

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 04:01 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.90%
Draw
20.57%
Away
18.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2295
Log loss
0.4959

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 04:01 UTC
SHA-256
278a956fbf5a36317817de82f7e2052ea49ccaf7d29454bb58acb1ec4208c43a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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