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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125707

Juvenes / Dogana VS Virtus

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 19:15 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.15%
Draw
23.29%
Away
60.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
0cb55d239f9db5dcda1b6afc0b45cc862d35b0b8e17af4ff775abf801ce8aab4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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