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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125644

Sochaux VS Annecy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 18:03 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.55%
Draw
28.19%
Away
30.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7385
Log loss
1.1953

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 18:03 UTC
SHA-256
0d45737c0e9e7c32f9d51e813ea4a6df812e8731e7206b60cba19e69c665e2dc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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