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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125552

Utsikten VS Tvååker

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.18%
Draw
23.75%
Away
40.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5465
Log loss
0.9145

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
SHA-256
10bb2e2b19e45ebc6db42d5ef5eac9d3a2f55882204159ab5f597bcc026920db

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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