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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125469

Fortis VS Regar-TadAZ

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Oct 2026 · 13:25 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.60%
Draw
22.98%
Away
16.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
SHA-256
8cc03ad51991a0a000ed8109dc1d31301363e8787001e729f06527c30e6dce54

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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