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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125127

WA Tlemcen VS Blida

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.23%
Draw
28.14%
Away
26.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8221
Log loss
1.3231

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
cd1f5f9936d178f28967e76675178b8d56d830cbd10665f487be588c7008882a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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