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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125050

Al Ramtha VS Doqarah

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.46%
Draw
25.55%
Away
20.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8841
Log loss
1.3645

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
c936cd9b061c0c28c930fbd8a56bc3b030bfb82ba68a697239f85e7403da8e8b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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