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Frozen pre-match forecast · #125015

Minerva Punjab VS Odisha

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.22%
Draw
25.41%
Away
21.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3291
Log loss
0.6307

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
67ed1623859a315e382ff0f755d6b9bbe0981fd470efc46337e66fdd5da32615

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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