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Frozen pre-match forecast · #124665

Zhytomyr U19 VS Veres Rivne U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.22%
Draw
29.68%
Away
35.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6333
Log loss
1.0470

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
6740bfd3373ceab2ad0c07a699d5ec629730529a473c21cbf49ac39ef70ebdb5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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