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Frozen pre-match forecast · #124529

Al Seeb VS Al Hussein

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.90%
Draw
20.91%
Away
16.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1418
Log loss
1.8208

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
e0cda22b199b40ebb7bddb94280783556362056f33cebb36728e54db54c3c3d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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