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Frozen pre-match forecast · #124255

Deportes Copiapo VS Cobreloa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.43%
Draw
28.50%
Away
33.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5697
Log loss
0.9564

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
ad034d53d6d8b3d72abb819638437ee65f588b23d06591fb9bb78e455e0da6cb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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