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Frozen pre-match forecast · #123993

Olot VS Terrassa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.68%
Draw
27.76%
Away
23.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8143
Log loss
1.2816

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
09 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
6fa88f40fccc5ab1a4f74f7d8a56b80b616877cbbe07f39cd4e27d4cb6805aac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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